Just winning sports picks in a single sport is not enough as we continue to spread our winning sports picks across all sports and moved to a perfect 4 – 0 start in the CFL.
Before we get into today’s match-up between the Giants and the Dodgers let’s take a look at Tim Lincecum and we will let everyone in on a little sports handicapping secret. While we look at trends and consider trends an important part of our analysis, we are not trend players. Here is a number, 37-7, that we throw out and it’s important to understand this is NOT a trend. Look back through Tim Lincecum’s career and you will find he has a remarkable 37 – 7 record when pitching off a game where he threw under 115 total pitches. Even more impressive is his ERA of 2.05 for his career under the same circumstances. Take this tip with you, remember this is not a trend and track Tim Lincecum’s pitch count. Now that you have that little tidbit of information you should do some additional homework. Consider the number of no-decisions, how the totals faired out and what his win/loss record is when he throws more than 115 pitches is a start. Research is a little harder than it looks and make sure to know when a trend is just a trend.
The Dodgers are reeling and have not won a game entering play off the All-Star break going 0 - 6 in that time span. Manny Ramirez is on the DL for the third time this season and their offense continues to struggle to score runs. For the Dodgers last night’s game has to be considered an offensive explosion as they had scored a total of 11 runs combined in the previous five games. Tonight the Dodgers will turn to Chad Billingsley who did not fare well coming off the break allowing 7 earned runs on 10 hits while walking 2 batters and striking out none in his last start at St. Louis. Billingsley threw just 67 pitches and was chased after 4 innings. After last night’s loss the Dodgers are now six games back.
The Giants on the other hand have been on a tear winning 11 of 13 games and will send Barry Zito to the mound. Zito is 8 – 4 and overall the Giants are 12 – 7 in his starts. Zito had been struggling in road games and is just 2 – 3 with an ERA of 4.77 on road. His last outing was a beauty going a full 8 innings allowing just 2 hits and throwing a shutout of the New York Mets. Zito has had some success in his career against the Dodgers and has faced them twice this season already allowing 2 and 1 runs in those two starts. In his last 3 starts against the Dodgers he has allowed just 3 total runs over 19.1 innings of work. The Giants have been good lately with Zito on the mound as an underdog going 10 – 4 the last 14 times Zito and the Giants were the listed underdog. Just for a note referencing the opening to this article, that is a trend.
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Sport betting information
Opening Line: San Francisco +115 - Los Angles -135 Total is set at: 7.5
The Giants are 4 - 0 in their L4 road games overall.
The Giants are 8 - 1 in their L9 games when total is between 7.0 - 8.5.
The Giants are 6 - 1 in their L7 games when listed as the road underdog.
The Dogers are 1 - 4 in their L5 games when facing a left-handed starter.
The Dodgers are 1 - 4 in their L5 games if listed as the favorite.
The Dodgers are 5 - 1 in Billingsley’s L6 starts if he has 4 days rest.
The Over is 6 – 1 - 1 in the Dodgers L8 games when favored in this price range.
The Over is 5 - 1 in the Dodgers L6 games when facing a left-handed starter.
The Over is 10 - 2 in the Giants L12 games when listed as the road underdog in this price range.
Head-to-Head
The Under is 8 - 1 - 3 in Zito L12 starts against the Dodgers.
The Dodgers are 4 - 1 in Billingsley’s L5 starts against the Giants at home.
The Over is 7 - 2 in the L9 meetings played in Los Angeles.
The Over is 10 - 4 in the L14 meetings overall.
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Umpire Information
The Giants are 6 - 1 the L7 games when McClelland is the home plate umpire.
The Home team is 20 - 6 in McClelland’s L26 games as he home plate umpire.